Before getting into the details of TSLA earnings. I want to share an important tip for my fellow traders. NEVER trade out of anger and emotion,keep to yourself and always keep things at an even keel. Say you make 20% one day, you can easily lose everything the next. Always remain humble. Back throughout the last weeks of september & october i bought 15 shares of Tesla from the 174-159 range thinking to myself this is a great long term stock. Everything was going well until the stock tanked after earnings. After the crash I promised myself to hold Tesla, as i quote Elon Musk ” We really are production-restrained, not demand constrained” After all there wasn’t a major flaw in the companies fundamentals as it is always better to be production restrained than demand constrained. Few days later came a fire that really hit the stock ($130 ) Even then I held the stock I was always hot headed so i was surprised I held it that long. After a few weeks of low activity Tesla dropped to 123. I finally lost it before i knew it I sold Tesla at 123.4001 at a 35% loss. To this day I kick myself everyday over selling Tesla at its absolute lowest.. Hopefully you all will learn from my mistake.
Fast forward current day Tesla is sitting at 198.23. This isn’t a make or break earnings for Tesla but it is easily the most important ER to day. After breaking out and establishing themselves and going through their first crisis. Tesla must show that they can rebound. Based on the early reports by the company( Tesla said that it expects Model S shipments in Q4 to beat the company’s previous guidance as much as 20%) , Tesla is going to beat earnings. Wallstreet expects them to report earnings of 19 cents a share on 646 million in revenue. The IV on Tesla options are through the roof and it only Sunday. TSLA ER are on Feb 19 during after hours. If Tesla beats earnings I could easily see them hitting 220 and in perfect world 240. FEB 22 200$ calls are sitting at 11.10X11.25 FEB 22 205$ are sitting at 8.85X9.05 FEB 22 $210 calls are sitting at 7X 7.10. Put options on Tesla aren’t cheap either FEB 22 195 $ Puts are at 13.50X 13.70 with FEB 22 190 Puts at 16.20X16.45 .
Tesla is installing more and more superchargers throughout the nation. In addition these chargers are stronger than the ones they have installed in the past. With the recent news of Tesla’s expansion in China the future is bright for Elon Musk and Co.
-Mitchell
I usually follow your lead on options but this is WAYY to expensive. love the article just don’t have the cash to take that kind of risk right now
I agree but i dont think that should scare you away. From all the early indications Tesla is going to hit it . This reminds me of twitter . Too expensive to gamble. Funny because twitter’s options were cheaper its just Tesla is somewhat personal to me. Why dont you consider some tesla stocks??
I might wait until post-tesla earnings to buy some shares but for now ill stick to your PLUG pick. its up nicely
Thats fine, Cortes will have other option picks tomorrow!
can’t wait!
I talked with a friend who was deterring me to buy tsla after the battery incident. Thanks for the blog ! I am looking for a penny stock this week to make %20.00 and up on. Do you have any suggestions? I am willing to donate %10 or more for anyone willing, as I am learning. Ultimately I am looking for tools to become a better stock picker rather than seek penny pick tips. If you have any ideas let me know . thanks! I am looking into bchs . best, Ryan
who could blame him for deterring you? tesla had 3 dropping points. 180-160 150-130 and 135-123. Who knows when it would have stopped fre-falling. i even bought more tesla at 154 I thought hey this is the one drop after earnings ill bounce back up. when you say tools are you a fundamental or technical trader. well penny stocks id say GARB has a 100% potential its sitting at .0001. and if your looking for 20% NTEK its sitting at .1161 alot more expensive
to be honesty i have not looked at or heard of BCHS
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